Author Topic: Odds Of A Recurrence
Sherrie Lynn
Member
Member # 275


Hi.....My husband had tonsil cancer in 7/2001,radical neck dissection, Chemo and Rad.
He goes to the Dr every other month and just had a chest CT scan 2 days ago. This nurse who was putting in his IV asked about his cancer and said
"Has it come back yet?" ...Dan thought maybe she thought his CT scan was because of a recurrence, but then it started to bother him. Does it ALWAYS come back??? Sooner or later? Are the odds of a second primary or metastisis higher?
Then after the scan a different tech or dr came out to take out his IV and asked how he has been feeling. This starting to make him nervous. The man asked about his cancer and treatments. Dan said they didnt' ask all these questions with his last scan. Is Dan reading too much into these comments?? He will find the results on Monday.
Thanks.

Posts: 15 | From: MI | Registered: Aug 2002  | 
Joanna
"Above & Beyond" Member (200+ posts)
Member # 41


Sherrie Lynn, if anyone asked me "Has it come back yet?" I think I would explode! That has to be the most insensitive remark of the year. As a recent patient, I have chosen to believe that it will NOT come back in my case, and I know that it does not always. I seriously believe that someone should get back to that nurse and explain to her how truly awful comments like that are. I hope you have her name, and if you don't want a confrontation, at least write a letter to the head of the department where she works. I am just steamed that anyone would say that to your husband, although I am sure he handled it better than I would have. Hang in there!
Joanna, Mad as a Wet Hen

Posts: 213 | From: Pacific Northwest | Registered: Mar 2002  | 
Brian Hill
Administrator
Member # 4


Don't read too much into the comments by a couple of technicians. While oral cancer has a higher recurrence rate than most other cancers, it is not inevitable that you will get it again. The first two years post treatment have the highest risk, at five years the statistics for most oral cancers to end up in recurrence drop to about a 13% chance. Then...get this, they start to go up again!!!! About 2% per year. This is a function of statistics and may not be your personal reality. I too was shocked recently when (now approaching my 5 year mark) I thought I was statistically out of the woods. One of our advisory board members and I were talking about the numbers, and he says, "Well the bad news is it is going to start going up now (the chance of recurrence as a percent of those with previous SCC). What skews the statistics is that as you get older, your immune system becomes more incompetent and each passing year makes things worse as a result. There is also an issue of comorbidity, again related to ageing and your chance of developing other diseases.These statistics are drawn from SEER numbers, and of course do not apply to everyone. The fact is that statically older people get this cancer, and it is only natural for their deaths at 70 or 80 or whatever to throw the death rate numbers. But diligence in early detection is the key word you need to remember. FOREVER you will be on recalls, and forever you will be waiting for the other shoe to drop. Hopefully it will not fall for decades, or at all...

Here are the actual facts without my editorializing. Getting a lung cancer or a cancer of the esophagus is strongly correlated with a previous carcinoma of the oral cavity. The actuarial incidence of second malignancies of the upper aerodigestive tract increases each year that a patient survives the index cancer. In the most quoted study, second primary cancers developed within 5 years of the successful treatment of the index cancer in one third (33.5%) of patients with stage 3 or 4 squamous cell carcinomas. A second study identified an overall 13.5% incidence of secondary primary malignancies in a study of 127 patients with head and neck SCC. Lung tumors accounted for the majority (41%) other head and neck cancers accounted for 35%, and esophageal accounted for the remainder (24%). Death rates from these secondaries are significantly influenced by the primary treatment, as a full course of radiation included in the first treatment precludes its use the second time around and treatment of the secondary is frequently limited to surgical intervention. If you came to oral cancer through tobacco you are on the wrong side of these numbers, as smokers in general have poorer outcomes. The term "field cancerization" has been used to describe the carcinogens in tobaccos effect on large areas such as the aerodigestive tract. Oral cancer being only one of many sites that a smoker may develop a tobacco related malignancy.

Someone will ask, so here is what SEER numbers and the resulting statistics are: SEER is the abbreviation for the National Cancer Institutes Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results programs. They are statistics gathered from 11 specific areas of the country designed to be representative of the nation as a whole. There is no method for tracking the individual incidence of any given disease, and therefore the NCI uses this sampling method and extrapolates national incidence and data from it.

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Brian, stage 3 oral cancer survivor. OCF Founder and Director. "The first responsibility of a leader is to define reality. The last is to say thank you. In between, the leader is a servant."

Posts: 366 | From: Laguna Beach, CA | Registered: Mar 2002  | 
Sherrie Lynn
Member
Member # 275


Thank you both for your replies....Dan now says he isn't worried, he was just jolted by the comments made. He came home quiet and upset, so I know this effects him more than he will ever admit. He has always been very "I have cancer lets take care of it, if it comes back, well we do what we can then" But I don't believe he feels that way, he won't even come clean with me on his feelings.
Another wonderful member here emailed us and said we could find out the results sooner than later, but Dan wants to wait. Christmas shopping this weekend and he chooses to be positive and have a good weekend. I wish we would have waited until January to get this thing done!!

Thank you
Sherrie

Posts: 15 | From: MI | Registered: Aug 2002  | 
kcdc
Platinum Member (100+ posts)
Member # 307


So, Joanna-what does a mad wet hen look like? Great analogy and point well taken because there is no place for insensitivity in our world.

Sherrie: as always, I am pulling for you and Dan and have the pom poms ready for good news. Concentrate on Christmas and each other.

Okay, so can I be mad as a wet shop lifting Winona Ryder(wearing a very expensive headband) who got caught???

Best,

Kim

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kcdc

Posts: 127 | From: Boston, Ma | Registered: Aug 2002  | 
digtexas
Platinum Member (100+ posts)
Member # 320


Brian,
I asked you a question in email that I agreed to post here concerning mortality. I have been wondering since the Doctors never seen to talk about it: what exactly kills us? My oncologist in the beginning told me that I was lucky that head and neck cancer usually stay local and don't travel around the body. My cancer is now gone. Yet, it did reach 3 lymph nodes in the neck and I am naturally concerned, as your earlier post suggested that it indeed does travel to the lungs and brain, as happened with George Harrison. My related question is, how do we die? Do new oral cancers choke us to death, is it from brain cancer, or what?
Thanks,
Danny G.

Posts: 111 | From: Houston, Texas | Registered: Sep 2002  | 
Rosalie
Member
Member # 378


Brian,
I know you haven't had a chance to be in touch with me because of your busy schedule so I thought I would send you an e-mail.
The results of my neck dissection was negative Squamous Cell Cancer, but positive for thyroid cancer. 28 lymph nodes were removed. I now need to have my thyroid removed in January. My concern is my doc. said I do not need radiation because my lymph nodes were clear. What is your feeling aboout that.
Also, I have a lesion on the roof of my mouth that my doc is aware of. He seems to think it looks like an irratation, but he is watching it. I have had it for over a month. It feels like it is getting larger. I am insisting on having another biopsy. I feel so hyper sensitive when it has to do with anything in the Oral Cavity. I feel like I am on a mission.
Having been diagnosed with Oral Cancer in October has made it very difficult for me to focus on anything else. I see things so differently now.
I hope you are feeling well.
I am still waiting for the donation envelopes to arrive. I really would like to help in anyway I can.
Rosalie

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Rosalie

Posts: 8 | From: Philadelphia | Registered: Oct 2002  | 
Brian Hill
Administrator
Member # 4


Danny with your permission I will answer your question on the board. I think that it is an important one, and both it and the several answers you will probably get will be of value to others. As to its effect on those that read the message board, all of our lives have to be balanced between hope and reality. While to some ignorance may be bliss, the more we know about something the better chance we have of coping with it, be it disease or death. This of course requires an attitude that pulls your head out of the sand and forces confrontation with sometimes disturbing concepts such as our own mortality. Many of these ideas instill fear and require courage to cope with them. Just remember that courage is not the absence of fear, but rather the judgment that something else is more important than fear.

I find your doctors comment curious, and I do not believe it to be valid, just ask Dinah who is currently fighting a liver metastasis from an oral cancer primary. In part perhaps the doctor is correct in those that have their cancer caught early. The primary metastasis of SCC oral cancers is the cervical lymph nodes. So given this, he/she is correct in saying that it stays local, or at least in the head and neck region. But once you have cancer cells within your lymph system, even though local to the primary, they have free access to everywhere that system can take them. which is unfortunately places very remote from the oral environment. The statistics of secondary primaries are skewed by the fact that 75% of oral cancer patients came to the disease through the use of tobacco. In my previous post I mentioned the term field cancerization. Smokers have thoroughly contaminated their aerodigestive tract with the carcinogens from tobacco. Obviously the oral environment gets the first dose, but so do the lungs, and the larynx, and even the esophagus, though to a lesser extent. It MAY be that field cancerization has started malignancies in all these tissues, and the oral cancer is simply the first to develop. This would mean that in some cases, oral cancer does not metastasize to the lungs for instance, but the secondary primary is just another cancer caused by the same carcinogens, but occurring at a later date. This is hypothetical, since the exact answer to this question does not exist, but it may be valid since statistically there is a slightly smaller chance of having a secondary primary if you came to your OC via a viral cause. Once in the nodes of your neck, a metastasis to areas downstream from those nodes is possible, and that would lead you to a lung metastasis from an oral cancer primary. Your doctors comment regarding lung cancer metastasis is another exercise in a partial fact. Once you have a lung cancer, whether it is your index primary or a secondary primary from the oral environment, the cancer cells now have access to the circulatory system because of the extremely dense vascularization of the lung alveoli. The circulatory system, like the lymph system can take the malignant cells virtually anywhere in your body. One of the closest and most highly vascularized areas is the brain. It is no reach of the imagination to see the connection between highly vascularized areas and metastasis of lung cancer. George Harrison's cancer was an oral primary with node metastasis from tobacco use, which later became a lung cancer, which later became a brain cancer. I could site other examples, but his pretty much tells the story. As to what kills us, it is not an issue of a cancer choking off anything, but the proliferation and metastasis of those cancer cells to vital organs that brings death.

In my own case, my statement that I came to my cancer as the result of HPV is a deduction, not a clinical fact supported by biopsy. I had none of the risk factors for oral cancer, never smoked, only drank lightly, was young statistically, etc. Three years after treatment as I began to research information for the newly formed OCF, I began to attend lots of cancer conferences. At these conferences cervical cancer was always on the table. The same cancer (SCC) which attacks more than 90% of OC victims, is also responsible for more than 90% of cervical cancers. The tissues of the cervix and the oral environment are the same tissues. Then the Hopkins study came out which was designed to disprove the link between the two cancers and actually proved it instead. I asked my wife to have an HPV test at her next PAP, and she turned out to be positive for HPV16/18. This means that she is at an extremely high risk for cervical cancer. HPV is sexually transmitted, and whether I gave it to her from one of my previous sex partners or she to me is an academic issue. But the deduction is logical. Since the Hopkins study, which was after my treatment, there are many institutions that are sampling oral cancer tissues for the presence of HPV to determine the extent of the problem. In a few years there will be enough data to publish something. But anecdotally, every doctor that I talk with is commenting on the rapid increase in non-smoking, young OC patients. There is the possibility that a highly sexually active population (pre AIDS) was a contributing factor to the spread of HPV, and now these cancers in non-smokers. That is pure speculation though. It is estimated that 40 million Americans have some form of HPV but how many have 16/18 cannot be determined. Most other variations of it are completely benign. You can be tested for HPV, but at this stage of things it is an academic question.

--------------------
Brian, stage 3 oral cancer survivor. OCF Founder and Director. "The first responsibility of a leader is to define reality. The last is to say thank you. In between, the leader is a servant."

Posts: 366 | From: Laguna Beach, CA | Registered: Mar 2002  | 
digtexas
Platinum Member (100+ posts)
Member # 320


Brian,
Thanks so much for your informed and very thorough answer to my questions. As unpleasant as oral cancer is to deal with , I guess that living beneath the " sword of damocles " just goes with the territory once the original cancer has been treated. At least we have something that most people lack...a real awareness of our mortality that should make us live more meaningful lives.

Danny G.

Posts: 111 | From: Houston, Texas | Registered: Sep 2002  | 

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